The Vols are a solid team, but we can't play the "if they just did this" game. Alabama likely would have won the national title in 2013 if they just tackled Chris Davis. Al Gore would have been president if he had just won Florida. We can justify almost anything if we use that logic.
On another note, what bowl is UT going to? Music City since Mizzou declined? They're possibly ranked at #25 to garner more interest for the bowl game, which is fine with me. Cities that host bowl games put a lot of money into them, and hosting a ranked team is much more lucrative.
We can play the if game when we are speaking in certainties. If Medley makes his FG's in those games, they are 11-1 and playing in Atlanta on Saturday. Your example called for speculation about the future.
Outback is my guess. Probably against Northwestern.