So we're in reasonable shape. If we beat Panama and Costa Rica drop points, we qualify. There are definitely scenarios where we don't qualify, and they're possible, but we're in pretty good shape. If we get anything from the 2 away games, it's a huge bonus.
There is a scenario where we need a tie against Costa Rica to avoid the intercontinental playoffs. We should be rooting for Canada, because they play Costa Rica in the first game and 3 points secures qualification for them. They also play Panama in the last game, but they'll be qualified by then.