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2055 WBL Betting Thread
- Thread starter NML
- Start date
NML
Well-Known Member
His NML POWA RATING was pretty meh last year, especially compared to a lot of those guys. Not sure if it's an outlier or the start of his decline.
NML
Well-Known Member
Milheirio was my last cut from the lines. He also had a pretty unspectacular power rating from last year.
He really did have an off year tho, he's old but he's DH'd his whole career so i hope they coded something where the decline is less precipitous and starts a little later. I want him to hit bombs until he's 43 and put the record so far out of reach you have to throw your 15 year old internation finds in the big leagues just to hope to catch up
Mr. Radpants
Trog Five Standing By
He still hit 41 HR. I think Vegas is reading too much into it. Same with Henny being 1:1. Weber doesnt get a mention.
Also as far as DH, look at Henny. He has been pretty steady through 35.
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Hoping that's the prophets future. With his contract I need him to remain productive
TonyGin&Juice
Sucking off Lawn Guy Land hobos.
I got $10 on the over on this. Not in Jimmy "The Greek" mode just yet, so I'm not going "big" on anything, but I'll put $10 on the over on that.
4 x $82M
Now I gots so much money for betting.
NML
Well-Known Member
I didn't say he was bad, just that he's probably not going to hit more HRs than anyone else. Those numbers were both 11 behind the leader, so it's not like he's on their heels or anything.
NML
Well-Known Member
WINNA WINNA CHICKEN DINNER
You did win the salary bet, but you lost the years bet - he got 3 guaranteed + a TO.
Puts you at $180.
Goat DH for sure. 40+homers and 100+ RBI every season except the one you experimented with him at catcher...where he was still one of the best hitting catchers
NML
Well-Known Member
He hit 41 bombs but in almost 700 BAs. He had a pretty low rate, relative to the rest of these guys. The only reason I'd consider him as an option is that he'll likely be top 5 in PAs in the league - but I'd still take Carrier over him on AMD.
Dark horse is Juarez on my team. My park is going to really help his numbers - just depends on if he can stay healthy like he did in 2053.
NML
Well-Known Member
World Series Champs Odds for 2055
San Fransisco 3:2
Helsingborg 2:1
Amsterdam 5:2
Kabul 3:1
North Dakota 4:1
Istanbul 5:1
Dublin 11:2
Seoul 11:2
False Bay 10:1
Buffalo 15:1
Lisbon 20:1
Little Rock 40:1
United Kingdom 70:1
Buenos Aires 90:1
Miami 150:1
Las Vegas 200:1
Moscow 280:1
Berlin 500:1
San Fransisco 3:2
Helsingborg 2:1
Amsterdam 5:2
Kabul 3:1
North Dakota 4:1
Istanbul 5:1
Dublin 11:2
Seoul 11:2
False Bay 10:1
Buffalo 15:1
Lisbon 20:1
Little Rock 40:1
United Kingdom 70:1
Buenos Aires 90:1
Miami 150:1
Las Vegas 200:1
Moscow 280:1
Berlin 500:1
Lloyd Carr
Well-Known Member
NML
Well-Known Member
Lloyd Carr
Well-Known Member
I think I can do both, but hedgin' them bets just in case.
NML
Well-Known Member
I think there's a very small window. Little Rock got a lot better, they should be right around .500. I think I got better as well, which puts me in the same range. So tough to tell with FB since they had such an overhaul, but I'd put them as that fourth team right now. They would need to not live up to expectations, you'd need to do one or two wins worse than expected (no less), and neither myself or LR would be able to exceed expectations (and @bruin228 certainly thinks he will).
Mr. Radpants
Trog Five Standing By
Never become a bookie, NML.
NML
Well-Known Member
I wouldn't, and this is obviously just for furn - but it's pretty comical from a neutral perspective how almost everyone is OUTRAGED that I'm knocking their team. Not everyone is right...
Mr. Radpants
Trog Five Standing By
I am.
NML
Well-Known Member
Dublin is actually a great example - every post is RABBLE RABBLE RODNEY DANGERFIELD NO RESPECT.
- you've made the playoffs once in the past 16 seasons
- you've had two winning seasons over that time frame (granted, both in a row)
- you are in a EXTREMELY tough and tight conference at the top, where Seoul, Istanbul, and Amsterdam all had better off-seasons than you
- you had three young players have great seasons for you with NO substance beyond that - Alfie, for example, had a monster year, and maybe that's his standard, but maybe not.
- you have several MVP-level players, which is obviously great, but if any of those five or so went down, you'd be in real trouble. Alfie, Norman, Creswell, Milherio, Mary Jane, and Young are all 'normal' so it's quite possible one or more of them goes down for a significant period of time.
- you've made the playoffs once in the past 16 seasons
- you've had two winning seasons over that time frame (granted, both in a row)
- you are in a EXTREMELY tough and tight conference at the top, where Seoul, Istanbul, and Amsterdam all had better off-seasons than you
- you had three young players have great seasons for you with NO substance beyond that - Alfie, for example, had a monster year, and maybe that's his standard, but maybe not.
- you have several MVP-level players, which is obviously great, but if any of those five or so went down, you'd be in real trouble. Alfie, Norman, Creswell, Milherio, Mary Jane, and Young are all 'normal' so it's quite possible one or more of them goes down for a significant period of time.
Mr. Radpants
Trog Five Standing By
I'm not going to bother with a big post but you don't really understand my team or the differences from last year.
Lol at past performance though.
Lol at past performance though.
NML
Well-Known Member
HERE ARE ALL OPEN LINES - THIS POST WILL BE UPDATED/LINES OPEN UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT
Win Totals for 2055 Season (all bets are 1:1, open until end of ST)
Playoff Odds for 2055
World Series Champs Odds for 2055
1-1 Odds for 2055 Season
Most HRs in 2055
Hunger Games 2055 Winner
Win Totals for 2055 Season (all bets are 1:1, open until end of ST)
Berlin - 49.5
Miami - 55.5
Moscow - 67.5
Las Vegas - 69.5
Buenos Aires - 72.5
United Kingdom - 79
Little Rock - 80
Lisbon - 81
Buffalo - 83.5
False Bay - 87
Dublin - 90
Seoul - 90
North Dakota 91.5
Istanbul - 92
Kabul - 92
Amsterdam - 93
San Francisco 96
Helsingborg - 97
Miami - 55.5
Moscow - 67.5
Las Vegas - 69.5
Buenos Aires - 72.5
United Kingdom - 79
Little Rock - 80
Lisbon - 81
Buffalo - 83.5
False Bay - 87
Dublin - 90
Seoul - 90
North Dakota 91.5
Istanbul - 92
Kabul - 92
Amsterdam - 93
San Francisco 96
Helsingborg - 97
Playoff Odds for 2055
San Fransisco 1:10
Helsingborg 1:8
Kabul 1:4
North Dakota 1:3
Amsterdam 2:3
Istanbul 1:1
False Bay 1:1
Dublin 3:2
Seoul 3:2
Buffalo 3:1
Little Rock 4:1
United Kingdom 9:2
Lisbon 7:1
Buenos Aires 9:1
Miami 15:1
Las Vegas 20:1
Moscow 22:1
Berlin 60:1
Helsingborg 1:8
Kabul 1:4
North Dakota 1:3
Amsterdam 2:3
Istanbul 1:1
False Bay 1:1
Dublin 3:2
Seoul 3:2
Buffalo 3:1
Little Rock 4:1
United Kingdom 9:2
Lisbon 7:1
Buenos Aires 9:1
Miami 15:1
Las Vegas 20:1
Moscow 22:1
Berlin 60:1
World Series Champs Odds for 2055
San Fransisco 3:2
Helsingborg 2:1
Amsterdam 5:2
Kabul 3:1
North Dakota 4:1
Istanbul 5:1
Dublin 11:2
Seoul 11:2
False Bay 10:1
Buffalo 15:1
Lisbon 20:1
Little Rock 40:1
United Kingdom 70:1
Buenos Aires 90:1
Miami 150:1
Las Vegas 200:1
Moscow 280:1
Berlin 500:1
Helsingborg 2:1
Amsterdam 5:2
Kabul 3:1
North Dakota 4:1
Istanbul 5:1
Dublin 11:2
Seoul 11:2
False Bay 10:1
Buffalo 15:1
Lisbon 20:1
Little Rock 40:1
United Kingdom 70:1
Buenos Aires 90:1
Miami 150:1
Las Vegas 200:1
Moscow 280:1
Berlin 500:1
1-1 Odds for 2055 Season
Berlin - 1:3
Miami - 1:1
Moscow - 3:1
Las Vegas - 4:1
Buenos Aires - 10:1
Field - 20:1
Miami - 1:1
Moscow - 3:1
Las Vegas - 4:1
Buenos Aires - 10:1
Field - 20:1
Most HRs in 2055
Frederic Carrier 1:2
Dennis Weber 1:1
Henry Cotterell 3:2
Walter Seguin 3:2
Teshome Haamid 3:2
Tien Thu 2:1
Carlos Magana 3:1
Jamie Juarez 4:1
Gonzalo Castillo 9:2
Mike Harris 9:2
Rafael Juarez 5:1
Field 7:1
Dennis Weber 1:1
Henry Cotterell 3:2
Walter Seguin 3:2
Teshome Haamid 3:2
Tien Thu 2:1
Carlos Magana 3:1
Jamie Juarez 4:1
Gonzalo Castillo 9:2
Mike Harris 9:2
Rafael Juarez 5:1
Field 7:1
Hunger Games 2055 Winner
Marat Aleev 1:1
Tim Fisher 3:2
Leonardo Rodriguez 3:2
Russ McDonald 2:1
Tommy Floyd 2:1
Liang-hsi Xuan 2:1
Field 3:1
Tim Fisher 3:2
Leonardo Rodriguez 3:2
Russ McDonald 2:1
Tommy Floyd 2:1
Liang-hsi Xuan 2:1
Field 3:1
Mr. Radpants
Trog Five Standing By
Yankee151
Hot Girl Summer
My team is worse than Dublin by a good margin at basically every position.
I have one good pitcher, one decent pitcher, then two veterans who will underperform to a consistent 4.50 ERA, and a youngster who will probably throw like 4.90 again. I think Weed/Young/Ping/Gamble will outperform my top 4. My bullpen does not have a consistent sub 3 era pitcher in it, so who knows what will happen with it. Last year it was one of the best in the division but the year before it was 8th.
My catcher has lost his bat in entirely and is now defense-only. I have 4 1B for 2 positions, so I'm playing Jephson at 3rd and have some weird platoon with Wan-Fu and Von at DH. Neither of whom, mind, have nearly good enough of a bat to compare to some of the better DH in the division. Due to this, my second baseman is actually a natural 3rd baseman (also keep in mind Sean Blake who was in my long term 2B plans is now total garbage). SS is fine so no issues there
My outfield consists of two power bats at the corners who will probably lose me 2-4 WAR just based off of their defense. Granted, they have all-star bats so it may not be a big deal, but this goes back to the issue of having too many DHs. In addition, my two options for Center Field, either have no bat whatsoever(Calk) or have a barely passable bat and can't really play the position (O'Brien).
I have some talent, but there is so much accumulation of talent in the division that I find it improbable I get over 90 wins this year. There's some pretty significant holes that have come from most prospects not working out as they should (W-Fu, Knowles, O'Brien) or old veterans ready to fall off a cliff (Seguin, Kidwell, Paz, heck, maybe even Inonu). Now this may not happen this year, I could get another playoff appearance, but I do think my team is a ticking time bomb and won't last past 2057 (conveniently when Redbeard's contract is up and I get my picks back
)
I have one good pitcher, one decent pitcher, then two veterans who will underperform to a consistent 4.50 ERA, and a youngster who will probably throw like 4.90 again. I think Weed/Young/Ping/Gamble will outperform my top 4. My bullpen does not have a consistent sub 3 era pitcher in it, so who knows what will happen with it. Last year it was one of the best in the division but the year before it was 8th.
My catcher has lost his bat in entirely and is now defense-only. I have 4 1B for 2 positions, so I'm playing Jephson at 3rd and have some weird platoon with Wan-Fu and Von at DH. Neither of whom, mind, have nearly good enough of a bat to compare to some of the better DH in the division. Due to this, my second baseman is actually a natural 3rd baseman (also keep in mind Sean Blake who was in my long term 2B plans is now total garbage). SS is fine so no issues there
My outfield consists of two power bats at the corners who will probably lose me 2-4 WAR just based off of their defense. Granted, they have all-star bats so it may not be a big deal, but this goes back to the issue of having too many DHs. In addition, my two options for Center Field, either have no bat whatsoever(Calk) or have a barely passable bat and can't really play the position (O'Brien).
I have some talent, but there is so much accumulation of talent in the division that I find it improbable I get over 90 wins this year. There's some pretty significant holes that have come from most prospects not working out as they should (W-Fu, Knowles, O'Brien) or old veterans ready to fall off a cliff (Seguin, Kidwell, Paz, heck, maybe even Inonu). Now this may not happen this year, I could get another playoff appearance, but I do think my team is a ticking time bomb and won't last past 2057 (conveniently when Redbeard's contract is up and I get my picks back
)
NML
Well-Known Member
Hey I get it. "You don't know my team, you don't understand how I'm perfectly orchestrated." Most people feel that way.
But if Alfie went down with an ACL on opening day, you'd probably get 5th.
Lloyd Carr
Well-Known Member
NML
Well-Known Member
My team is worse than Dublin by a good margin at basically every position.
I have one good pitcher, one decent pitcher, then two veterans who will underperform to a consistent 4.50 ERA, and a youngster who will probably throw like 4.90 again. I think Weed/Young/Ping/Gamble will outperform my top 4. My bullpen does not have a consistent sub 3 era pitcher in it, so who knows what will happen with it. Last year it was one of the best in the division but the year before it was 8th.
My catcher has lost his bat in entirely and is now defense-only. I have 4 1B for 2 positions, so I'm playing Jephson at 3rd and have some weird platoon with Wan-Fu and Von at DH. Neither of whom, mind, have nearly good enough of a bat to compare to some of the better DH in the division. Due to this, my second baseman is actually a natural 3rd baseman (also keep in mind Sean Blake who was in my long term 2B plans is now total garbage). SS is fine so no issues there
My outfield consists of two power bats at the corners who will probably lose me 2-4 WAR just based off of their defense. Granted, they have all-star bats so it may not be a big deal, but this goes back to the issue of having too many DHs. In addition, my two options for Center Field, either have no bat whatsoever(Calk) or have a barely passable bat and can't really play the position (O'Brien).
I have some talent, but there is so much accumulation of talent in the division that I find it improbable I get over 90 wins this year. There's some pretty significant holes that have come from most prospects not working out as they should (W-Fu, Knowles, O'Brien) or old veterans ready to fall off a cliff (Seguin, Kidwell, Paz, heck, maybe even Inonu). Now this may not happen this year, I could get another playoff appearance, but I do think my team is a ticking time bomb and won't last past 2057 (conveniently when Redbeard's contract is up and I get my picks back
You should probably blow it up, tankee
Lloyd Carr
Well-Known Member
Paz went from JV to Varsity, and still put up similar stats to his years in Buffalo. Where do you get the idea his bat is gone?
NML
Well-Known Member
Yeah ur right, I think I just doubled ur money like I do with over/unders. Fixed
Edit: Actually, it's $150 possible
Yankee151
Hot Girl Summer
Huge rating drop combined with batting under the Mendoza line in ST
Lloyd Carr
Well-Known Member
Lloyd Carr
Well-Known Member
I don't pay my scout any money (he earned enough when he pitched in Buffalo all those years), but OSA says his ratings haven't changed from last year.
And ST is meaningless.
Yankee151
Hot Girl Summer
I pay my scout so little that he gives me insider information no one else would know. I signed some random mlfa that was a 3.5 star rating with like 70 power to me but he had all red in OSA 
Then again that's how I found Shakil Arfan and some others like him so who knows
Then again that's how I found Shakil Arfan and some others like him so who knows
Lloyd Carr
Well-Known Member
So I'm trying to understand sports betting.
3:2 would mean I win $3 for every $2 I bet. So if I bet $20, I should win $30, right? Do I also get my original $20 back? Meaning for that bet I really come away with $50 (my original $20, plus the $30 from the bookie)?
A 3:1 means I win $3 for every $1 I bet. So I win $60 for that $20 I bet. Or, $80 for the whole thing (my original $20, plus the $60 from the bookie).
And 1:1 means $1 for every $1 I bet. So I win $20, plus my original $20 for $40 total.
$50 + $80 + 40 = $170?
@NML is that right? Should my actual total possible be $170? Or do I still not understand?
3:2 would mean I win $3 for every $2 I bet. So if I bet $20, I should win $30, right? Do I also get my original $20 back? Meaning for that bet I really come away with $50 (my original $20, plus the $30 from the bookie)?
A 3:1 means I win $3 for every $1 I bet. So I win $60 for that $20 I bet. Or, $80 for the whole thing (my original $20, plus the $60 from the bookie).
And 1:1 means $1 for every $1 I bet. So I win $20, plus my original $20 for $40 total.
$50 + $80 + 40 = $170?
@NML is that right? Should my actual total possible be $170? Or do I still not understand?